Yu Jia international opening gaps, the risk is still in the uplink 韩国人当场污辱魏晨

Yu Jia International: opening gaps, in the current market upside risk risk appetite will further rise, it will benefit us dollar currency financing. In the past week, U.S. economic data remained stable. The US employment market, domestic demand and manufacturing performance are both resilient. However, after the beginning of the financial market environment tightening sharply, the Federal Reserve is still or wait and see attitude. And the uncertainty of global economic growth may still make the market maintain high volatility. This week’s big data is the US consumer price index (PCE). If the data is far less than the market expected, may further reduce the Fed’s interest rate expectations. In the short run, the risk appetite of the market will lead to pressure on the euro and the rise of the euro financing arbitrage trade. In the medium term, the euro remains one of the weakest G10 currencies, because the market expects the ECB [micro-blog] will be further relaxed next month. Although early last week in the euro dollar closed out four consecutive Yinxian after a close line in the last trading day last week, but the day continued to record lows to 1.1066 next week, from below the 1.1060 support is just a step away. On the short term, the euro dollar has rebounded, but it is expected that the exchange rate will soon break 1.1060, again opened the downward trend this week. Boris Johnson, the mayor of London, who is now enjoying a high popularity, announced that he would push Britain out of the EU, adding to the possibility that British voters voted for Johnson in June, and caused a major blow to British Prime Minister Cameron (David Cameron). The pound has become increasingly vulnerable. Due to the UK from the EU may worry, pound the opening on Monday when it plunged upward. At present, there is a rebound, but the overall is still hovering low. Although the pound dollar closed up on Friday at the top of the 1.4400, but is still down by the British weekly, mainly from Europe to suppress the worry. But European leaders have reached an agreement aimed at Britain’s stay in the EU, which may force the pound to strengthen at the beginning of this week. The recent support of GBP / USD is 1.4250, and if it is broken, it may lead to a further fall in the short term. The bottom target is 1.4190. Risk sentiment is still a key factor in the yen. After easing the Japanese central bank, the Japanese stock market fell sharply, and Japanese investors were forced to stabilize their risk positions and buy back yen to hedge. With the market risk appetite warmer, hedging operations will gradually weaken, it is expected that the dollar, yen market outlook will rise back above 116. The dollar yen affected by risk aversion down, fell for 3 consecutive weeks in line. Dollar, yen, the overall decline, not yet visible action. If the exchange rate falls below 112.5, it may be further measured 111, and may even extend the downtrend to 110. China is quiet, and the central parity of the dollar has been stable for the past week. In addition to the liquidity injection before the Spring Festival, the decline in market volatility makes arbitrage transactions temporarily supported. Private capital spending in Australia will be an important figure this week. In particular, the Australian Bureau of statistics will announce the first 201617 fiscal year corporate capital expenditure expectations.

钰佳国际:英镑开盘跳空,上行风险犹在   当前市场的风险偏好将进一步有所走高,这会利多美元兑融资货币。在过去一周中,美国经济数据表现仍稳固。美国就业市场、国内需求和制造业表现均具韧性。不过,在年初的金融市场环境大幅趋紧后,美联储目前或仍持观望态度。而全球经济增长的不确定性,可能仍然令市场维持高度波动性。这周的重磅数据是美国消费支出物价指数(PCE)。如果数据远不及市场预期,可能进一步降低美联储利率预期。   就短线而言,市场风险偏好的回暖会令欧元承压,欧元融资套利交易会兴起。就中期而言,欧元仍是最弱的G10货币之一,因为市场预期欧洲央行[微博]下个月会进一步宽松。虽然上周初欧元 美元在连续收出四根阴线后,在上周最后一个交易日收出阳线,但当天仍继续创下周低点至1.1066,离下方支撑位1.1060仅一步之遥。目前短线上,欧元 美元受到支撑有所反弹,但预计汇价很快将下破1.1060,再次打开本周下跌走势。   如今受欢迎程度相当高的伦敦市长约翰逊(Boris Johnson)宣布他将推动英国脱离欧盟,增加了英国选民6月公投赞成脱欧的可能性,对英国首相卡梅伦(David Cameron)造成重大打击。英镑也变得愈发脆弱。因围绕英国可能脱离欧盟的担忧加重,英镑在周一开盘时就跳空暴跌。目前有所反弹,但整体仍于低位徘徊。虽然上周五英镑 美元收涨于1.4400上方,但周线仍收跌,主要受英国脱欧担忧的打压。但欧洲领导人达成旨在将英国留在欧盟的协议,这可能将促使英镑在本周初走强。目前英镑 美元最近的支撑位于1.4250,若被下破可能引发短线的进一步下跌,下方目标看1.4190。   风险情绪仍是左右日元的关键性因素。在日本央行宽松后,日本股市却大幅下挫,日本投资者因此被迫平抑风险头寸,回购日元进行对冲。而随着市场风险偏好回暖,对冲操作将逐步减弱,预计美元 日元后市将升回116上方。   美元 日元受避险情绪影响下行,连续3周以阴线收跌。美元 日元整体维持跌势,暂未显现上行动能。如果汇价跌破112.5,则可能进一步下测111.0,甚至可能延伸跌势至110.0。   中国因素归于平静,美元 人民币中间价在过去一周中也表现稳定。加之春节前的流动性注入,市场波动率的下降令套利交易暂时受到支撑。本周的澳洲私营资本支出将是重要数据。特别是,澳洲统计局将首次公布2016 17财年企业资本支出预期。铁矿石价格有所反弹,也给澳元带来了支撑。但新西兰的乳品价格却在下跌,新西兰通胀预期已经降至1994年来低位,这或令新西兰联储进一步宽松。不过,市场风险偏好的回暖或令纽元 美元在本周获得进一步支撑。不过从长期来看,仍看空纽元 美元,因纽元需要贬值来减少乳品价格下跌对农户收入的影响。技术面看,目前澳元跟纽元都在日图出现筑顶现象,建议考虑进场做空。 新浪声明:新浪网登载此文出于传递更多信息之目的,并不意味着赞同其观点或证实其描述。文章内容仅供参考,不构成投资建议。投资者据此操作,风险自担。相关的主题文章: